9-Year Contract Survival Guide: Use Mathematics to Beat the Market
Eight years ago, I thought liquidation was just bad luck; now I understand — the liquidation notice was written by my own hand. Real trading is not about guessing the direction but locking in risk with mathematics.
Gameplay That Disrupts Your Understanding
Leverage is just a tool; using 100x leverage with 1% position size has lower risk than being fully invested in spot. The most stable players I’ve seen use 20x leverage and only invest 2% of their capital, and they haven't been liquidated in three years. Remember this formula: Real Risk = Leverage × Position Size; numbers don’t lie.
Stop-loss is a paid survival insurance. During the 312 crash, 78% of liquidated accounts fell into the illusion of "holding on for another 5% to break even." The baseline for professional players: a single loss must not exceed 2% of the capital; it’s like an electrical circuit breaker — if it doesn't trip, it’s just waiting to burn the house down.
Compound Interest Is Not a Snowball, It’s Building Blocks
With 50,000 capital and an initial position of 5,000 (10x leverage), each time you earn 10%, add 500 to your position. When BTC rises from 75,000 to 82,500, the position only expands by 10%, but the safety cushion has thickened by 30%. Those who go all in have long been buried halfway up the hill.
The Secret of Institutional Risk Control
Dynamic Position Formula: Total Position ≤ (Capital × 2%) / (Stop-loss Margin × Leverage). With 50,000 capital playing with 10x leverage, the maximum single investment is 5,000; if you lose 1,000, stop — this is the safety line drawn with algebra.
Take Profit Like Slicing a Cake: Sell 1/3 at 20% profit, sell another 1/3 at 50% profit, and get out if the remaining breaks the 5-day line. In this year's halving market, some have used this tactic to turn 50,000 into a million.
The Magic of Hedging
While holding positions, spend 1% of your capital to buy Put options; when a black swan appears, it can save your life. During that April crash, this action preserved 23% of the account's net worth.
Blood and Tears Big Data
Holding a position for 4 hours has a liquidation probability of 92%
Monthly average of 500 trades wearing down 24% of capital
83% of profitable accounts give back profits due to greed
Ultimate Survival Rules
Single Loss ≤ 2%
Annual Trades ≤ 20
Win-Loss Ratio ≥ 3:1
70% of the time, stay in cash and watch the show
The market is a game of probabilities; smart people bet on trends with a 2% risk. Remember: profits will come to you; all you have to do is manage your losses. When you turn your trading system into a mathematical formula, emotions can no longer deceive you!
The market is already brewing; don’t stumble around in the dark alone.
If you are willing, Sister Bing will take you ashore!
