2025.12.5《$btc》Short Essay

——12.4 Short Essay<Review>——

Original Quote 1: If the price runs below the 93000 line for most of the time today, then we need to pay attention to potential adjustment risks. The key support range has come to 【91500-92000】. Does the price reaching this range mean we can go long? We can try going long with a small position. However, it might just be a rebound. Because once the price reaches this range, the risk of further decline becomes greater. But I believe the extreme adjustment position might just be the range 【90000-90500】.

Summary: Yesterday, the price ran below the 93000 line for most of the time. Last night at 10:30, it fell to the 91800 line and quickly rebounded to the 93250 line, then faced another decline. This corresponds here. Later, it adjusted to a low of 90900 in the early morning, then rebounded to a high of 92700.

——12.5 Short Essay——

The current question is, has the adjustment completed? Is it going to continue adjusting, or is it stabilizing and preparing to rise?

Personally, I believe the possibility of not having adjusted fully here is higher. I think a sign of a complete adjustment is when the price can pull back to the range mentioned yesterday 【90000-90500】, that's one. Secondly, today's rebound seems a bit average. Although I don't know if it will suddenly strengthen later, based on the current performance, it seems that the possibility of going down is higher. Additionally, my long position has been hanging in the range 【90000-90500】 for a long time. Also, quite crazily, I don't plan to set a stop loss; at most, I will prepare to do a hand for additional buying.

The above is a positive thought. But if it really can't drop anymore, the situation that allows me to find a long position again is if the price effectively breaks through the 93000 line again. At that time, I might feel that the lower positions might not be reachable, and the price is very likely to have stopped falling and stabilized, ready to sprint again. So at that time, I'll adjust my strategy again. #比特币VS代币化黄金 #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐