The expectations for interest rate cuts are becoming more real, the dollar is weakening, what does this mean for us?

Brothers, the market sentiment is changing! The latest news is that the expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in December are getting stronger, leading to a continuous weakening of the dollar.

There are several reasons: the non-farm payroll data was weaker than expected, inflation pressure in the service sector has eased, and in addition, Trump may nominate the dovish Hassett as the Federal Reserve chairman. With these factors combined, the market feels that the 'tap' is about to loosen again.

This is a direct positive environment for our crypto circle. Because the rising expectations for interest rate cuts + the weakening dollar usually enhance the attractiveness of Bitcoin and other crypto assets as alternative stores of value. The market's risk appetite is also rebounding.

But pay attention to a detail: after the data was released last night, the probability of an interest rate cut rose from 85% to 88.8%, and now it has stabilized around 85%. This indicates that although market sentiment is optimistic, it has not gone to extremes, and there is still some caution left. This is not a signal for reckless buying, but a foundation that supports market sentiment.

Advice for retail investors:

Don't chase highs and sell lows: rising expectations will support the market and even push it up, but the process will have fluctuations. Don’t chase high during a rapid rise; pay attention to opportunities during pullbacks.

Keep a close eye on next week’s meeting: all expectations will be validated or falsified at next week’s Federal Reserve policy meeting. That will be the real 'moment of revelation'.

Maintain a balanced allocation: even in optimistic sentiment, don’t go all in. Keep a certain amount of cash or stablecoin positions to cope with potential disappointments or fluctuations.

In summary, the market environment is improving, but operations require more rhythm and patience.

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