The market has been sluggish for two days, the range of 2980-3100 has almost been ground down to a fine point! A giant whale suddenly dumped 5 times the short position on 1011, clearly betting on the direction—but Lao Luo thinks this might actually be a smokescreen; real breakthroughs often occur when most people hesitate!
Market sentiment analysis
The market in the past two days has been like 'boiling a frog in warm water', both bulls and bears are waiting for signals. The giant whale's short positions seem fierce, but a closer look at the funds shows:
On-chain data: ETH exchange reserves have decreased for three consecutive days, indicating that large holders are not collectively selling;
Sentiment indicator: Fear and greed index stuck at 50, the long-short battle has intensified;
Key variable: low liquidity on weekends, a small amount of capital can move the market, whales may take advantage of this to wash the market!
Old Luo's judgment: if today breaks 2980 with high volume, short positions are established; but if it holds support and breaks 3100 with high volume, bears may get trapped!
Short-term trading logic
Look for oscillation breakthroughs, let the trading volume speak!
Whale shorts ≠ absolute direction, there are too many historical cases of 'whales being counter-killed';
The real barometer is the trading volume at the breakout: low volume rebound is a trap for longs, high volume breakthrough is the real signal;
Cautious players can wait for clear direction before taking action; right-side trading is safer!
Support/Resistance/Watershed
Strong support: 2980 (if it breaks, turn to short, target 2880)
Strong resistance: 3100 (if it breaks, turn to long, target 3150)
Watershed: 2980 (critical point for intraday longs and shorts, stabilize to try light longs)
Wait for the breakout of the range, enter with light positions in the direction, and set a stop loss;
Can test key positions in the range in batches, strict risk control;
If you can’t grasp the specific entry position, you can follow Old Luo; analyze the specific situation in detail.
Old Luo finally says: whale actions should be referenced, but don’t take them as gospel! In the crypto world, it’s always those who see through emotions early that can earn money from knowledge. Remember—trading volume doesn’t lie, patiently wait for direction is better than blindly following trends!
There are no gods in the crypto world, only smart people who know how to read signals. Old Luo doesn’t brag, doesn’t paint a big picture, just teaches you solid survival skills. Follow Old Luo, layout in advance every day in the village! If you want to keep up in real-time and find Old Luo, we synchronize positions, my profits are shared with you#加密市场反弹 $ETH
