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Weekend Crypto Rollercoaster: The Calm Before the Big Storm? đ Last Sunday the market went totally nuts in super thin trading: Bitcoin bounced between $88k-$92k and Ethereum flew from $2,910 to $3,150 in just a few hours, wiping out both longs and shorts. But hereâs the crazy part: only $440M got liquidated, which is tiny these days. That tells you almost nobody is actually trading anymore; retail is bored/tired/scared and has checked out (Google searches for âBitcoinâ are back to 2022 bear-market levels), and even the perpetual futures crowd has cut their leverage by 44-50% since October. So the market is empty â tiny buying or selling now creates huge swings. Perfect setup for violent moves. At the same time, someone big is quietly hoovering up coins: 25,000 $BTC left exchanges in the last two weeks, ETFs + companies now hold more Bitcoin than all exchanges combined, and Ethereum exchange balances are at 10-year lows. Classic supply squeeze happening under the radar while everyone else is on holiday mode. This week the Fed meets on Wednesday. A rate cut is basically guaranteed, but if they even hint at restarting QE or slowing the balance-sheet runoff, risk assets (stocks + crypto) could rip higher. Weâre in that weird âghost townâ phase of the market: almost no retail, low leverage, crap liquidity, but whales and institutions are steadily buying every dip and locking coins away forever. These weekend Âą5% moves in minutes are just a preview; when we finally break either below $84k or above $100k itâs going to be explosive in one direction. Iâm personally leaning bullish because the supply shock is real and the Fed is still dovish, but man, the ride is going to be brutal until we get that clean breakout. Buckle up, December could get very spicy. If you enjoy my content, feel free to follow me â¤ď¸ #Binance #crypto2025
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BTC Gets Knocked Back as Asia Spooks the Market đ Bitcoin had a rough start to December, dropping from 91k to 86k in just a few hours. The main reason wasnât the US â it was Asia. Japan hinted at a possible rate hike, and Chinaâs latest PMI showed their services sector shrinking for the first time in almost three years. Both signals freaked out investors and made people question whether global liquidity is actually improving. Then things got worse when Strategyâs CEO made comments implying they might sell BTC if their stock falls too much or funding dries up. That triggered panic, especially among highly leveraged traders, causing more forced selling. Whatâs funny is that the macro backdrop should be good for crypto: QT is ending, rate cut odds are high, a pro-crypto candidate might become the next Fed Chair, and spot ETF flows are positive again. But BTC isnât listening â sentiment is weak, and the Strategy headlines made it worse. Right now, the market is basically asking: âCan Bitcoin hold the previous lows or not?â Liquidity and Strategy-related flows will decide. The next few days could determine whether BTC ends 2025 positive. BTCâs reaction feels more like a sentiment tantrum than a real macro shift. Asia threw a curveball, traders panicked, and leverage got wiped â classic crypto. But the bigger picture (US liquidity improving, ETF inflows, rate cuts in sight) still leans bullish. As long as BTC doesnât break below its recent lows, this looks more like a shakeout than a full trend reversal. If you enjoy my content, feel free to follow me â¤ď¸ #Binance #crypto2025
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Bitcoin Chilling in the $80ks â Everyoneâs Waiting for the Fed & Wondering If the AI Party Is Over đ â¨BTC bounced a bit and is hanging out around $88â89k, but itâs not because of some big crypto news. Itâs just riding the wave of stocks feeling a little better and markets betting hard (85%) on a Fed rate cut in December. Inflationâs still annoying, jobs are getting softer, and Fed members are split, but the âletâs cut ratesâ camp is getting louder. Meanwhile, the crazy AI hype is cooling off â credit spreads on tech/AI names are widening, and people are side-eyeing Nvidiaâs exploding inventory and slow collections⌠basically asking âare companies actually using all this AI stuff or did they just front-load orders?â Crypto ETFs are bleeding money again, a bunch of tokens got liquidated, and MicroStrategy (the bitcoin hoarder) is flirting with break-even on its stash while its stock might get kicked out of an index â that could force selling and hurt BTC price. Options traders are quietly buying a ton of downside protection, everyoneâs a bit scared, and the vibe is cautious even if the price looks stable. Bottom line: BTC is stuck in no-manâs-land for now. Upside capped near $95k because of ETF sellers will show up, downside support around $80â82k. Right now crypto is just a leveraged bet on whether stocks stay happy and the Fed actually cuts. No strong crypto-only story driving it. â¨Honestly feels like the calm before the storm. Either we get a proper ârisk-onâ Santa rally into year-end if the Fed delivers and jobs data isnât horrific, or this whole $80â95k range collapses if AI credit keeps blowing out or the labour market cracks harder. Iâm leaning toward rangebound grinding until the December FOMC â too many crosscurrents and not enough real new money coming into crypto right now. Feels exhausted more than bearish or bullish. If you enjoy my content, feel free to follow me â¤ď¸ #Binance #crypto2025
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BTC Gets Some Oxygen â Rate Cut Hopes + Flushed Leverage = Room for a Bounce 𤣠â¨Bitcoin got smoked (down over 30% recently) and looked technically broken, but Fridayâs super-dovish Fed comments flipped the mood. Markets now think thereâs a 75% chance of a December rate cut (it was only 30-40% a few days ago). Cheaper money coming = good for risky stuff like BTC. Even though the chart still looks ugly, the options market is telling a different story: traders have over $4.5 billion sitting in December calls at 85k, 120k, 130k, 140k, and even 200k. Thatâs a lot of people betting on (or at least protecting for) a big year-end rally. Max pain is around 104k, so the market kinda âwantsâ to gravitate there by Christmas. On top of that, the perps market just had its long leverage flushed out hard â funding rates are negative and a ton of weak hands got wrecked. That usually means the worst of the selling is done for now. This week is quiet (Thanksgiving), so if $BTC can hold Fridayâs gains and we donât get the usual weekend fake-out + Monday US open dump, it could actually start crawling higher. â¨Iâm cautiously optimistic for the first time in weeks. The macro tailwind is real, the leverage flush feels complete, and the options crowd is still loaded with upside bets despite the bloodbath. Weâre probably not out of the woods yet (one more convincing leg down to shake out the rest of the tourists is still possible, but the risk/reward for a bounce into year-end looks pretty juicy from here. Iâd rather be long (or at least not short) heading into December than the other way around. If you enjoy my content, feel free to follow me â¤ď¸ #Binance #crypto2025
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Crypto Took the First Hit: Why Bitcoin Led the Global Selloff on 11/21 đ On November 21, the entire crypto market suddenly turned red â Bitcoin slid below $86,000, ETH dropped under $2,800, and nearly a billion dollars in positions were liquidated within 24 hours. This wasnât just a normal pullback. It was a global risk-asset shakeout that crypto felt first and felt hardest. Why did crypto crash first? Because crypto has become the fastest, most sensitive barometer of global risk sentiment. Whenever liquidity tightens or expectations break, crypto reacts before anything else. The biggest trigger was the Federal Reserve killing the December rate-cut dream. For months, crypto traders had been pricing in easier money and more liquidity. When the Fed suddenly turned hawkish, the entire crypto marketâs âbull moodâ collapsed instantly. And because crypto is full of leverage, the moment BTC broke key price levels, liquidation cascades kicked in. Once the first wave of forced selling started, Bitcoin basically dragged the entire market down with it. But thereâs another important point: Crypto is finally part of the global financial system â not a side playground anymore. This crash showed that BTC and ETH now move with macro expectations, not just internal hype. The downturn wasnât caused by any crypto project blowing up or bad news inside the industry. It was simply crypto doing what it always does: react first, react violently, and react faster than anyone else. Honestly, this wasnât crypto entering a bear market. It was crypto being crypto â the most leveraged, most emotional, and most sensitive asset class on the planet. Rate-cut expectations collapsed â liquidity nerves kicked in â crypto instantly became the first place to panic-sell. But the good news? Crypto also rebounds the fastest. It dumped earlier than everything else, so it will usually bottom earlier too. Also, the AI hype slowing down and macro tightening donât kill the crypto cycle â they just reset it. If you enjoy my content, feel free to follow me â¤ď¸
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