tlt

$TLM (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF) – MACRO LONG SIGNAL (Bond Issuance Boom = Rate Cut Fuel!)

Current Price: **$98.50** (approx., post-Fed pause)
Bias: Strongly bullish – record high-grade issuance signals corporate refinancing frenzy, pushing yields lower & bonds higher.

Entry Zone
• Aggressive: $97.50 – $99.00 (market now, on the issuance headline momentum)
• Conservative: $96.00 – $97.00 (retest of 50-day EMA & demand zone)

Targets (scale out on the yield compression rip)
🎯 TP1: $105 (+6.5%) – first major resistance & 38.2% Fib
🎯 TP2: $112 (+13.5%) – mid-channel & measured move
🎯 TP3: $120 – $125 (+22–27%) – previous swing highs & 61.8% extension
Stretch: $135+ (if Fed cuts 2–3x more in 2026)

Stop Loss
❌ Hard SL: $95.00 (below weekly low & key support)
→ Risk ~3.5% from $98.50 entry – pristine R:R

Key Levels
Support: $96.00 – $97.00 → must hold (issuance demand floor)
Invalidation: Daily close below $94.50 (yield spike risk)
Resistance: $100 → $105 → $112 → $120

Risk-Reward
• TP1 → 1:2
• TP2 → 1:4
• TP3 → 1:8+

Why bonds rip now:
- **BREAKING**: US high-grade issuance hits $1.499T YTD – highest since 2020's $1.75T record (edging 2024's $1.496T)
- Corps refinancing $1T+ maturing debt at sub-5% yields + AI capex boom = massive supply but even bigger demand
- Bloomberg Agg up 6.7% YTD (best since 2020), IG spreads at 83bps (near 30yr tights)
- Fed cuts + deficit spending = lower yields ahead, TLT primed for 20%+ rally

Aped at $97.80 avg. This issuance surge is the contrarian bond bull signal we've waited for.
TLT to $120 by mid-2026. Rates down, bonds up! 🚀📈

#TLT #Bonds #FixedIncome #RateCuts #Macro

$TLM (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF) – LONG-TERM MACRO SIGNAL (Bond Issuance Boom = Fuel for Rate Cuts!)
Current Price: **$98.50** (approximately, after the Fed paused)
Trend: Very optimistic – record high-grade bond issuance signals a corporate refinancing frenzy, pushing yields lower & higher bonds.
Entry Area
• Positive: $97.50 – $99.00 (current market, according to issuance headline momentum)
• Cautious: $96.00 – $97.00 (testing the 50-day EMA & demand area)
Targets (sell when yields decrease)
🎯 TP1: $105 (+6.5%) – first major resistance & 38.2% Fib
🎯 TP2: $112 (+13.5%) – middle of the channel & measured move
🎯 TP3: $120 – $125 (+22–27%) – previous high & 61.8% extension
Stretch Target: $135+ (if the Fed cuts 2–3 more times in 2026)
Stop Loss
❌ Hard Stop Loss: $95.00 (below weekly low & major support)
→ Risk ~3.5% from entry level of $98.50 – excellent R:R ratio
Key Levels
Support: $96.00 – $97.00 → must hold (issuance demand floor)
Invalidation: Daily close below $94.50 (risk of yield spike)
Resistance: $100 → $105 → $112 → $120
Risk-Reward
• TP1 → 1:2
• TP2 → 1:4
• TP3 → 1:8+
Why Bonds are Surging Right Now:
- **UPDATING**: High-grade U.S. bond issuance reaches $1.499T YTD – highest since the record $1.75T in 2020 (nearly reaching $1.496T for 2024)
- Corporates refinancing over $1T in maturing debt at yields below 5% + AI investment boom = large supply but even larger demand
- Bloomberg Agg up 6.7% YTD (best since 2020), IG spread at 83bps (near 30-year lows)
#TLT #Bonds #FixedIncome #RateCuts #Macro

$TLM (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF) – MACRO LONG SIGNAL (Bond Issuance Boom = Rate Cut Fuel!)
Current Price: **$98.50** (approx., post-Fed pause)
Bias: Strongly bullish – record high-grade issuance signals corporate refinancing frenzy, pushing yields lower & bonds higher.
Entry Zone
• Aggressive: $97.50 – $99.00 (market now, on the issuance headline momentum)
• Conservative: $96.00 – $97.00 (retest of 50-day EMA & demand zone)
Targets (scale out on the yield compression rip)
🎯 TP1: $105 (+6.5%) – first major resistance & 38.2% Fib
🎯 TP2: $112 (+13.5%) – mid-channel & measured move
🎯 TP3: $120 – $125 (+22–27%) – previous swing highs & 61.8% extension
Stretch: $135+ (if Fed cuts 2–3x more in 2026)
Stop Loss
❌ Hard SL: $95.00 (below weekly low & key support)
→ Risk ~3.5% from $98.50 entry – pristine R:R
Key Levels
Support: $96.00 – $97.00 → must hold (issuance demand floor)
Invalidation: Daily close below $94.50 (yield spike risk)
Resistance: $100 → $105 → $112 → $120
Risk-Reward
• TP1 → 1:2
• TP2 → 1:4
• TP3 → 1:8+
Why bonds rip now:
- **BREAKING**: US high-grade issuance hits $1.499T YTD – highest since 2020's $1.75T record (edging 2024's $1.496T)
- Corps refinancing $1T+ maturing debt at sub-5% yields + AI capex boom = massive supply but even bigger demand
- Bloomberg Agg up 6.7% YTD (best since 2020), IG spreads at 83bps (near 30yr tights)
- Fed cuts + deficit
spending = lower yields ahead, TLT primed for 20%+ rally
Aped at $97.80 avg. This issuance surge is the contrarian bond bull signal we've waited for.
TLT to $120 by mid-2026. Rates down, bonds up! 🚀📈
#TLT #Bonds #FixedIncome #RateCuts #Macro

🔴 Why does gold always outperform treasury bonds 📊 ?

👈 The reason is simply that the government can issue treasury bonds whenever it wants, which does not require any real energy expenditure.

• However, to produce a new unit of gold, you must dig in the ground and extract the shiny metal, which requires much more energy than printing or issuing bonds.

• The amount of energy expenditure is what drives the price against the yield.

• Therefore, in the long run, the yield of gold will always be greater than that of bonds.

📊 gold > bond yield.

🌟 This is a fundamental rule in investing.
$PAXG $PAXG $PAXG
#BONDS #TLT #US10Y #GOLD

There is a massive #buying opportunity coming for #TLT . Be patient.
#AltcoinRevolution2028
#cryptouniverseofficial
#BinanceSquareFamily