smm

$BTC | Introducing the SatoshiMacro Model (SMM)

A quantitative Bitcoin cycle confluence model. 48 signals across 6 weighted tiers, distilled into a single 0-100 cycle position score.

The 6 tiers:
- Cycle Timing & Mass Psychology (30%): halving cycle position, power law deviation
- Valuation (25%): Mayer Multiple, MVRV Z-Score, Pi Cycle Top, NUPL
- Sentiment (20%): Fear & Greed, funding rates, open interest, Coinbase premium
- Rotation (10%): BTC dominance, altseason index
- Miner (10%): Puell Multiple, hash ribbons, hashrate vs peak
- Macro (5%): DXY, M2, yield curve, VIX

Lookahead-free expanding-window percentile rank. USD/AUD currency toggle. Calibrated 7-of-7 in-zone across BTC cycle inflections from 2013 through 2022.

Built by a former institutional trader who traded allocated capital at a Sydney prop firm.

100% free. No paywall, no email gate.

Full methodology + interactive gauge + 48-signal panel:
https://satoshimacro.com/tools/crypto/satoshimacro-model/

#Bitcoin #CycleAnalysis #OnChain #SatoshiMacro #SMM

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