#中本聪 #币安人生 20251206 Analysis of Satoshi Nakamoto's Trading Situation
I. Key Data Overview
The current token price is **$0.001326**, with a decline of 17.52% in the last hour; market capitalization is $1.3301 million, liquidity is $152,500, 24-hour transaction volume is $308,600, and the number of holding addresses is 11,000, with the top 10 addresses accounting for 15.9% of the holdings.
On the moving average front, MA5 ($0.001307), MA10 ($0.001300), MA20 ($0.001317), and MA30 ($0.001328) are densely interwoven around the current price, with MA60 ($0.001484) forming resistance above the price, and MA120 ($0.001004) serving as long-term support.
II. Market Trend Analysis
1. Short-term Trend: The 1-hour candlestick shows that the token price quickly retraced from a high of $0.001930, oscillating in the $0.001200-$0.001600 range recently, currently breaking below the short-term moving average interweaving area, with a 1-hour decline of 17.52% reflecting significant short-term selling pressure.
2. Volume Performance: Trading volume has significantly shrunk compared to previous peaks, indicating insufficient willingness to absorb funds during the decline, and reduced market trading activity.
3. Chip Structure: The top 10 addresses account for 15.9% of the holdings, with a moderate degree of chip dispersion, and there is currently no risk of a single address having high control, but the number of holding addresses at 11,000 is relatively small, limiting market participation.
III. Risk Warning
1. Liquidity is only $152,500, far below mainstream crypto assets, posing a slippage risk of severe price fluctuations due to large transactions.
2. The 24-hour transaction volume is $308,600, with insufficient market depth, making short-term prices easily influenced by speculative trading or sell-offs.
IV. Price Prediction
1. Short-term (1-3 days): Affected by the significant drop in the 1-hour period and moving average pressure, the price is likely to continue oscillating in the $0.001000-$0.001400 range. If it breaks below MA120 ($0.001004), it may test the previous low of $0.000865; if it can stabilize above MA30 ($0.001328), it may rebound to test the resistance level of MA60 ($0.001484).
2. Medium-term (1-2 weeks): If there is no new funding or concept speculation catalyst, based on the current liquidity and transaction volume performance, the price is unlikely to see significant surges, likely maintaining a range oscillation pattern, with core support at $0.001000 and resistance at $0.001500.