$DOT 🔗 DOT’s $3.00 Recovery: Testing the Strength of the New Scarcity Model

Polkadot (DOT), currently trading at $1.98, is targeting a recovery toward the $3.00 psychological milestone, representing a potential 51.5% upside. This $3.00 level is a critical "gatekeeper" for Polkadot’s 2026 outlook; it aligns with a major historical resistance zone and sits just above the key $2.32–$2.75 recovery range where DOT must consolidate to invalidate its 2025 bearish trend. Reclaiming $3.00 is essential to shift the market structure from its recent "mass capitulation" phase back toward a bullish discovery path targeting the $5.20–$10.40 macro expansion zone.

The momentum for this rally is fundamentally anchored by the landmark Tokenomics Overhaul (Sept 2025), which introduced a strict 2.1 billion token supply cap—effectively ending Polkadot's unlimited inflation model. This transition toward scarcity, combined with the Polkadot 2.0 "JAM" Protocol and Elastic Scaling launch (set for next month), is designed to attract institutional capital looking for high-performance, bridge-less interoperability. To reach $3.00, DOT must first decisively flip the immediate $2.09–$2.10 resistance cluster into support and defend the current $1.66–$1.72 multi-year demand floor. Successfully holding $3.00 would signal the start of a "revival wave" as the first batch of Polkadot Hub DeFi projects go live in Q1 2026.

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