In just a few hours, the Supreme Court could issue a decision that shakes the entire market.

While everyone's staring at ETF flows and on-chain data, Washington is deciding over $133 billion.

The case: Trump's punitive tariffs from April 2025 were ruled unconstitutional by two federal courts. The president overstepped his authority. Over 1,000 companies are suing for refunds of the paid tariffs - totaling $133.5 billion.

Today is "Opinion Day" at the Supreme Court. The justices can announce their decisions - and this ruling is right at the top of the list. 4:00 PM CET.

What happened in November: Even the conservative justices showed skepticism toward Trump's arguments. Justice Barrett asked directly whether the president can really impose tariffs without Congress. The signal was clear.

→ Tariffs fall = $133 billion flows back to companies, less inflation pressure, more liquidity, risk-on for all assets
→ Trump wins = President can impose tariffs without limits in the future, trade war uncertainty remains

Remember April 2, 2025? Trump's "Liberation Day." $BTC crashed 10% within days. The market hates tariff uncertainty.

Today could turn the tide.

The truth: Anyone only looking at charts today misses the real game. That's the edge when you look beyond the plate.

BTC at $90,922 - Whales accumulating aggressively: 56,227 BTC bought since Dec 17. Exchange supply at 7-year low. Long-term holders have stopped selling for the first time since July.

$ETH at $3,113 - BTC/ETH death cross on the chart, but Morgan Stanley with new ETH ETF filing. Sentiment at 87% positive.

Strategy keeps buying - now 673,783 BTC
Saylor: +1,287 BTC for $116 million last week. Cash reserve increased to $2.25 billion. That's over 3% of the entire Bitcoin supply in one hand.

Texas Bitcoin Reserve Bill passed in Senate
Texas = 8th largest economy in the world. Florida follows with new bill. Byron Donalds bought up to $100K in BTC- his first Bitcoin purchase ever.

Fear & Greed at 27 (Fear)
Retail is scared, institutions are buying. That's exactly the setup we want.

MACRO TIMELINE

Thursday 09.01.: Supreme Court Opinion Day - Tariff ruling possible (4:00 PM CET)
Friday 10.01.: US labor market data + $2.22 billion BTC/ETH options expiry
Monday 13.01.: MSCI decision on Strategy index membership expected
Wednesday 15.01.: US CPI data - crucial for Fed expectations

THAT'S THE MODE TODAY

Risk ON – Capital maximization

Institutions accumulating at Fear & Greed 27. Exchange reserves at 7-year low - smart money is positioning.

DON'T DO THIS TODAY:
Stand on the sidelines while retail is scared and institutions buy.

ON-CHAIN SIGNAL

→ Exchange Reserves: 7-year low
Fewer coins on exchanges = less selling pressure. If demand rises, the price explodes.

→ Long-Term Holders: No net selling for the first time since July
The diamond hands have stopped selling. Historically always a sign of bottom formation.

→ Whale Accumulation: +56,227 BTC since Dec 17
Wallets with 10,000-12,000 BTC loading up massively. They know more than we do.

→ Transaction Fees: Record low
The market is calm - the calm before the storm. Low fees = low activity = perfect accumulation phase.

SUPPORT & RESISTANCE

Support
$89,500 (short-term support, 50-day EMA - algos buy here automatically)
$88,500 (open CME gap - closes 70% of the time, perfect add zone)
$87,000 (200-day EMA + psychological mark - massive liquidity here)

Resistance
$92,000 (local high from last week - breakout here = momentum)
$94,500 (Adam & Eve neckline - technical pattern, above it goes parabolic)
$100,000 (psychological mega-mark - sell orders here, but also FOMO)

THIS IS HOW I'M HANDLING IT

Capital maximization in progress - we're buying in

→ DCA active: Build positions at current levels
→ On dip below $89,500: Buy aggressively
→ Buy zones: $88,500 / $87,000 are gifts
→ Stop-loss: Only relevant below $85,000
→ Target: Build up ahead of the next leg up

Why now is the right time:

→ Fear & Greed at 27 - Retail sells, we buy
→ Institutions accumulating aggressively (Strategy, Texas)
→ Exchange supply at 7-year low - supply shock pre-programmed
→ Supreme Court could deliver positive catalyst
→ Position yourself smart and follow me, I'm doing my best to provide clarity

Support is a matter of honor - Thanks for your like, comment, and retweet!

No financial investment advice!


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