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🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Laryska5577:
BTC
NHẬN ĐỊNH #BTC NGÀY 22/06: MM ĐANG DỰNG BẪY 64.6K — QUÉT LÊN RỒI XẢ?
BTC hiện quanh 64.0k, đang kẹt giữa range M30/H1: dưới là 63.75k–63.15k–62.30k, trên là 64.45k–64.65k, sâu hơn 65.15k–65.35k.
MM có xác suất cao kéo giá râu lên vùng 64.45k–64.65k để lấy buy-stop và dụ breakout long, thậm chí quét sâu lên 65.15k–65.35k, sau đó nếu M30 đóng lại dưới 64.35k thì khả năng cao đạp về 63.75k - 63.15k -62.30k.
Anh em chờ BTC hồi/râu lên 64.45k–64.80k mới canh SHORT, không short đuổi tại 64.0k. Nếu có râu sâu lên 65.15k–65.35k nhưng đóng nến yếu, có thể chia thêm vị thế. SL 66.20k. TP1: 63.75k. TP2: 63.15k. TP3: 62.30k.
Nếu BTC không hồi lên mà thủng thẳng 63.75k, không short đuổi. Chờ retest 63.75k–64.05k fail mới short tiếp. Nếu giá quét xuống 62.30k rồi reclaim nhanh 63.75k, đó là bear trap; lúc đó không short nữa, chuyển sang quan sát long hồi về 64.45k–65.20k.
BTC hiện quanh 64.0k, đang kẹt giữa range M30/H1: dưới là 63.75k–63.15k–62.30k, trên là 64.45k–64.65k, sâu hơn 65.15k–65.35k.
MM có xác suất cao kéo giá râu lên vùng 64.45k–64.65k để lấy buy-stop và dụ breakout long, thậm chí quét sâu lên 65.15k–65.35k, sau đó nếu M30 đóng lại dưới 64.35k thì khả năng cao đạp về 63.75k - 63.15k -62.30k.
Anh em chờ BTC hồi/râu lên 64.45k–64.80k mới canh SHORT, không short đuổi tại 64.0k. Nếu có râu sâu lên 65.15k–65.35k nhưng đóng nến yếu, có thể chia thêm vị thế. SL 66.20k. TP1: 63.75k. TP2: 63.15k. TP3: 62.30k.
Nếu BTC không hồi lên mà thủng thẳng 63.75k, không short đuổi. Chờ retest 63.75k–64.05k fail mới short tiếp. Nếu giá quét xuống 62.30k rồi reclaim nhanh 63.75k, đó là bear trap; lúc đó không short nữa, chuyển sang quan sát long hồi về 64.45k–65.20k.
Stanford Aranas zpBa:
có thể xin bạn tư vấn chút đc ko? cảm ơn bạn
$BTC is basically flat today — sitting around $64.2k, same as where it started the week.
But the charts are telling like three different stories depending on which one you're looking at, which is honestly the more interesting part.
Zoom out to weekly and it's still well below the 25 and 99 day averages — not close either, we're talking tens of thousands under. That's a downtrend by any normal definition.
Zoom into the 1-hour though and price just reclaimed every short-term average after bouncing off a flash drop. Same coin. Same minute. Completely different read.
And the headlines aren't making it simpler — ETF inflow numbers, another Saylor buy signal, some desk still running the $23,980 worst-case like it's still live, BlackRock options chatter too.
Wait — that's a lot of noise for something that moved less than half a percent.
Kind of reminds me of some of the relief bounces from last cycle that just... fizzled.
Not saying that's what this is. I genuinely don't know yet.
Short-term it looks fine. Higher timeframe hasn't actually changed.
Not sure this is a signal so much as a pause.
#BTC #orocryptotrends #Write2Earn
But the charts are telling like three different stories depending on which one you're looking at, which is honestly the more interesting part.
Zoom out to weekly and it's still well below the 25 and 99 day averages — not close either, we're talking tens of thousands under. That's a downtrend by any normal definition.
Zoom into the 1-hour though and price just reclaimed every short-term average after bouncing off a flash drop. Same coin. Same minute. Completely different read.
And the headlines aren't making it simpler — ETF inflow numbers, another Saylor buy signal, some desk still running the $23,980 worst-case like it's still live, BlackRock options chatter too.
Wait — that's a lot of noise for something that moved less than half a percent.
Kind of reminds me of some of the relief bounces from last cycle that just... fizzled.
Not saying that's what this is. I genuinely don't know yet.
Short-term it looks fine. Higher timeframe hasn't actually changed.
Not sure this is a signal so much as a pause.
#BTC #orocryptotrends #Write2Earn
Ernesto Bailard Ldn0:
Nothing new here, Mother goose has the shits around twice a day. 😂🤣😂
大家早呀～
周末市场最大的变量还是美伊局势。
原本很多人以为双方签完备忘录后，后面的谈判会慢慢推进，但没想到又出现新的变数。霍尔木兹海峡问题再次升级，双方态度明显转强，市场担心后续局势会不会进一步恶化，所以避险情绪一下子又上来了。
从目前情况来看，美伊双方虽然还没有彻底谈崩，但距离真正达成全面共识还有很长的路要走。尤其是涉及地区冲突、资产解冻等核心问题，短时间内想一次性解决并不现实。
对于市场来说，现在最重要的不是谁说了什么，而是后面有没有实质性进展。只要局势没有明确缓和，资金大概率还是会保持谨慎状态。
最近ETF资金也没有出现明显回流，机构整体依然偏观望，所以短期市场想走出持续性上涨行情并不容易。
因此这周不用想太复杂，继续盯着两个方向就行：
一个是美伊局势有没有新的进展；另一个是机构资金有没有重新回流市场。
在这两个因素没有出现明确变化之前，我个人还是维持之前的观点，大盘更像是震荡整理，而不是直接选择方向。
从周线来看，目前依然处于60000-67000区间震荡阶段，真正的变盘信号还没出现。
交易上还是老思路，以短线和波段为主，耐心等市场给出明确方向。
BTC关注64000-66000区间；
ETH关注1700-1770区间；
SOL关注72-76区间。
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#BTC #ETH #solana
周末市场最大的变量还是美伊局势。
原本很多人以为双方签完备忘录后，后面的谈判会慢慢推进，但没想到又出现新的变数。霍尔木兹海峡问题再次升级，双方态度明显转强，市场担心后续局势会不会进一步恶化，所以避险情绪一下子又上来了。
从目前情况来看，美伊双方虽然还没有彻底谈崩，但距离真正达成全面共识还有很长的路要走。尤其是涉及地区冲突、资产解冻等核心问题，短时间内想一次性解决并不现实。
对于市场来说，现在最重要的不是谁说了什么，而是后面有没有实质性进展。只要局势没有明确缓和，资金大概率还是会保持谨慎状态。
最近ETF资金也没有出现明显回流，机构整体依然偏观望，所以短期市场想走出持续性上涨行情并不容易。
因此这周不用想太复杂，继续盯着两个方向就行：
一个是美伊局势有没有新的进展；另一个是机构资金有没有重新回流市场。
在这两个因素没有出现明确变化之前，我个人还是维持之前的观点，大盘更像是震荡整理，而不是直接选择方向。
从周线来看，目前依然处于60000-67000区间震荡阶段，真正的变盘信号还没出现。
交易上还是老思路，以短线和波段为主，耐心等市场给出明确方向。
BTC关注64000-66000区间；
ETH关注1700-1770区间；
SOL关注72-76区间。
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#BTC #ETH #solana
OA_T100:
慢慢交易慢慢复利。兄弟们跟一手买不了吃亏，买不了上当。 冲冲冲上万U
$BTC 比特币又跌到极端区了。
彩虹图 Rainbow Chart 已经跌破 Fire Sale（清仓甩卖区）。
这不是普通便宜。
是情绪被打到过冷。
市场现在最明显的问题，不是没人看空，而是太多人已经不敢买了。彩虹图跌破 Fire Sale（清仓甩卖区），说明 BTC 比特币已经进入历史上非常罕见的低估情绪区间。
这种位置不代表马上反转，但代表风险收益已经开始改变。
越往下，恐慌越大。
但长期资金反而越容易进场。
真正的底部，往往就出现在没人敢相信的时候。
想跟上这波交易机会，直接点下方卡片交易 👇$ETH $SOL #btc
彩虹图 Rainbow Chart 已经跌破 Fire Sale（清仓甩卖区）。
这不是普通便宜。
是情绪被打到过冷。
市场现在最明显的问题，不是没人看空，而是太多人已经不敢买了。彩虹图跌破 Fire Sale（清仓甩卖区），说明 BTC 比特币已经进入历史上非常罕见的低估情绪区间。
这种位置不代表马上反转，但代表风险收益已经开始改变。
越往下，恐慌越大。
但长期资金反而越容易进场。
真正的底部，往往就出现在没人敢相信的时候。
想跟上这波交易机会，直接点下方卡片交易 👇$ETH $SOL #btc
MULIC哥:
是底部，那你还不砸锅卖铁投
الوجهة العامة للبتكوين $BTC هذا تحليلي الشخصي
في الصورة الاولى هو نموذج رأس وكتفين سلبي متشكل على الإيطار الزمني الاسبوعي والشهري
والصورة الثانية فهو خط الترند الهابط وما زلنا في استمرارية الهبوط الى مناطق 47 الف وأيضا 32 الف ما زال للهبوط بقية هذا ما اراه في تحليلي 👌🏻
$ETH $BNB
#BTC #BTCAnalysi #Binance
في الصورة الاولى هو نموذج رأس وكتفين سلبي متشكل على الإيطار الزمني الاسبوعي والشهري
والصورة الثانية فهو خط الترند الهابط وما زلنا في استمرارية الهبوط الى مناطق 47 الف وأيضا 32 الف ما زال للهبوط بقية هذا ما اراه في تحليلي 👌🏻
$ETH $BNB
#BTC #BTCAnalysi #Binance
ORTCHIMARO:
Thank you bro
$BTC is doing something most people are misreading right now.
Everyone’s focused on the $64K level like it’s the “make or break” zone — but the real story isn’t resistance… it’s compression.
On the higher timeframe, Bitcoin is still trading below key moving averages (MA25 ~ $66K, MA99 even higher). That’s not a confirmed bull trend — it’s a recovery phase trying to prove itself.
But zoom in, and the picture changes.
On lower timeframes (15m–1h), price is stabilizing around $63.8K–$64K. Buyers are stepping in. Selling pressure is being absorbed. Volume is active again.
This is where most traders get trapped.
A small bounce appears → people call the bottom → leverage returns → and the market resets expectations.
Because Bitcoin doesn’t reward excitement. It rewards patience and liquidity.
Right now, BTC isn’t screaming “breakout”… it’s quietly testing whether demand is strong enough to hold pressure.
So the real debate isn’t:
“Will BTC break $64K?”
It’s:
Is this true accumulation… or just another relief rally before the next move?
And honestly — the market hasn’t decided yet.
#BTC #Crypto #BitcoinAnalysis #Write2Earn
Everyone’s focused on the $64K level like it’s the “make or break” zone — but the real story isn’t resistance… it’s compression.
On the higher timeframe, Bitcoin is still trading below key moving averages (MA25 ~ $66K, MA99 even higher). That’s not a confirmed bull trend — it’s a recovery phase trying to prove itself.
But zoom in, and the picture changes.
On lower timeframes (15m–1h), price is stabilizing around $63.8K–$64K. Buyers are stepping in. Selling pressure is being absorbed. Volume is active again.
This is where most traders get trapped.
A small bounce appears → people call the bottom → leverage returns → and the market resets expectations.
Because Bitcoin doesn’t reward excitement. It rewards patience and liquidity.
Right now, BTC isn’t screaming “breakout”… it’s quietly testing whether demand is strong enough to hold pressure.
So the real debate isn’t:
“Will BTC break $64K?”
It’s:
Is this true accumulation… or just another relief rally before the next move?
And honestly — the market hasn’t decided yet.
#BTC #Crypto #BitcoinAnalysis #Write2Earn
#BTC Có lực mua hấp thụ khi giá xuống 63500 trong khi thị trường đang hóng cuộc đàm phán giữa mỹ và iran
Nếu đàm phán đổ vỡ btc sẽ về mốc 62
Nếu đàm phán thành công thị trường bật lên 64
Về kinh tế có thể sử dụng tiềm lực kinh tế sức ép để đe doạ, nhưng về chính trị có lẽ phản tác dụng của ông Trump nếu áp dụng vì iran đã chịu cấm vận mấy chục năm nay rồi .
Mình vẫn nghiêng về $BTC sẽ tăng trở lại do đây chỉ là chiêu bài để Trump xả dầu dự trữ trước khi tích lũy trở lại.
Bài viết chỉ mang tính chất tham khảo và dự đoán, không khuyến khích đầu tư crypto .
Nếu đàm phán đổ vỡ btc sẽ về mốc 62
Nếu đàm phán thành công thị trường bật lên 64
Về kinh tế có thể sử dụng tiềm lực kinh tế sức ép để đe doạ, nhưng về chính trị có lẽ phản tác dụng của ông Trump nếu áp dụng vì iran đã chịu cấm vận mấy chục năm nay rồi .
Mình vẫn nghiêng về $BTC sẽ tăng trở lại do đây chỉ là chiêu bài để Trump xả dầu dự trữ trước khi tích lũy trở lại.
Bài viết chỉ mang tính chất tham khảo và dự đoán, không khuyến khích đầu tư crypto .
Cred ca #BTC o sa mai scada undeva pana la 46000 usd. Graficul este la un interval de 1 luna iar cu contextul geopolitic si cu manipularea burselor BTC o sa scada pana cand balenele vor cumpara cu 2 maini :)). Nu se cumpara acum , doar trebuie sa asteptam momentul oportun. Cand exista ceva corectii si monedele noastre de meme mai cresc putin trebuie sa le vindem si sa nu mai cumparam pe viitor nici un alt proiect de crypto. Doar acest BTC merita. Abia dupa 4 ani de zile am inteles acest lucru si de aceea asta am de gand sa fac.
Предоставено чрез споделяне от страна на потребителите в Binance
poznucă:
bunule, monedele își mai revin dacă btc se va duce spre 126 000?
$BTC تحديث عاجل ومفصلي.. الرفض القوي يتحقق والدببة يستهدفون مستويات الـ 62,300! 🚨📉
🔹 الدخول: 64,050$ – 64,250$
⚙️ التعزيز (DCA): نحو 65,300$ (منطقة مقاومة ثقيلة)
🎯 الأهداف:
• 63,750$
• 63,450$
• 63,180$
• 62,800$
• 62,300$
ما هي قراءتكم للحركة القادمة؟ هل يواصل الملك$BTC تراجعه نحو مستويات الـ 62K أم يفاجئ السوق بارتداد سريع؟ شاركونا آراءكم في التعليقات، ولا تنسوا دعم المحتوى بالإعجاب والمتابعة! 👇🎯
#BTC #Bitcoin #Binance #Trading #Bearish
🔹 الدخول: 64,050$ – 64,250$
⚙️ التعزيز (DCA): نحو 65,300$ (منطقة مقاومة ثقيلة)
🎯 الأهداف:
• 63,750$
• 63,450$
• 63,180$
• 62,800$
• 62,300$
ما هي قراءتكم للحركة القادمة؟ هل يواصل الملك$BTC تراجعه نحو مستويات الـ 62K أم يفاجئ السوق بارتداد سريع؟ شاركونا آراءكم في التعليقات، ولا تنسوا دعم المحتوى بالإعجاب والمتابعة! 👇🎯
#BTC #Bitcoin #Binance #Trading #Bearish
#BTC 新的一周开始，休息了3天，今天策略开始继续更新， 拿走请点赞～
老美的独立日加上周六周日这点波动真心没有一点想做交易的想法。
从盘面上看，是有下跌的趋势，但是美伊那点破事还是在情绪上对市场的上张下跌有着影响。
最近发现了一个好玩的事，一个坑货带单员居然重新回来了，当时说自己请假唱山歌，没想到唱回来了。看来估计是山歌没唱明白又回来割韭菜了。
大家记得避下坑～
好了今天周一要处理的事情有点多废话我少说
今日策略：
比特币（日内）
空单：63888
补仓：64455
止损：64666
止盈：63155、62543
还是做个提醒，止损是爆不了仓的，不止损才会爆仓。错了就认，对了就保本格局下。不带止损套单一概免责。
老美的独立日加上周六周日这点波动真心没有一点想做交易的想法。
从盘面上看，是有下跌的趋势，但是美伊那点破事还是在情绪上对市场的上张下跌有着影响。
最近发现了一个好玩的事，一个坑货带单员居然重新回来了，当时说自己请假唱山歌，没想到唱回来了。看来估计是山歌没唱明白又回来割韭菜了。
大家记得避下坑～
好了今天周一要处理的事情有点多废话我少说
今日策略：
比特币（日内）
空单：63888
补仓：64455
止损：64666
止盈：63155、62543
还是做个提醒，止损是爆不了仓的，不止损才会爆仓。错了就认，对了就保本格局下。不带止损套单一概免责。
金链观察:
独立日这几天大家都躺平，BTC缩量正常。我反倒盯着黄金——美伊那份停火备忘录加霍尔木兹重开，油价溢价一退，金子这边我还是偏多看的。你是先观望BTC回不回踩，还是这波避险资金往黄金挪？🙂
SHORTING #BTC $BTC ? Be Patient. 📉
For everyone looking to short #bitcoin , don’t rush.
Based on historical price action and market structure, this kind of sideways movement is completely normal. If history rhymes, Bitcoin could still push into the $68K–$70K range before a larger correction.
🎯 Potential Short Zone: $68K–$70K
Take-Profit Targets:
✅ TP1: $50K
✅ TP2: $45K
✅ TP3: $40K
I think for this trade a 2-5× leverage as a balanced approach compared to higher leverage, since leverage always increases both potential gains and losses.
Patience pays. The market rewards discipline, not #FOMO .
Do your own research and manage your risk.
For everyone looking to short #bitcoin , don’t rush.
Based on historical price action and market structure, this kind of sideways movement is completely normal. If history rhymes, Bitcoin could still push into the $68K–$70K range before a larger correction.
🎯 Potential Short Zone: $68K–$70K
Take-Profit Targets:
✅ TP1: $50K
✅ TP2: $45K
✅ TP3: $40K
I think for this trade a 2-5× leverage as a balanced approach compared to higher leverage, since leverage always increases both potential gains and losses.
Patience pays. The market rewards discipline, not #FOMO .
Do your own research and manage your risk.
BTC will reach 70k
BTC will reach 75k
BTC will crash from here ->40k
2 ден(ни) остава(т)
Aqui está uma versão mais organizada, com uma abertura chamativa e em primeira pessoa:
🚨 ACUMULAÇÃO EM ANDAMENTO! 🚨
Continuo comprando pequenas quantidades de #BTC, como faço regularmente. Na minha visão, ainda existe a possibilidade de vermos o preço testar a região dos US$ 55 mil, buscando um suporte mais sólido antes da próxima movimentação de alta.
Se esse cenário se confirmar, acredito que o Bitcoin poderá retomar sua trajetória em direção aos US$ 74 mil, uma resistência extremamente importante. O rompimento dessa faixa seria um forte sinal de continuação da tendência de alta e poderia marcar o início de um novo ciclo altista mais consistente.
Minha análise se baseia na formação de topos e fundos ascendentes, estrutura que continua válida no gráfico.
Sigo otimista. 📈
Lembre-se: quedas fazem parte do mercado. Muitas vezes, elas são necessárias para remover excessos, liquidar posições alavancadas e preparar o terreno para movimentos mais saudáveis no longo prazo.
#BTC
🚨 ACUMULAÇÃO EM ANDAMENTO! 🚨
Continuo comprando pequenas quantidades de #BTC, como faço regularmente. Na minha visão, ainda existe a possibilidade de vermos o preço testar a região dos US$ 55 mil, buscando um suporte mais sólido antes da próxima movimentação de alta.
Se esse cenário se confirmar, acredito que o Bitcoin poderá retomar sua trajetória em direção aos US$ 74 mil, uma resistência extremamente importante. O rompimento dessa faixa seria um forte sinal de continuação da tendência de alta e poderia marcar o início de um novo ciclo altista mais consistente.
Minha análise se baseia na formação de topos e fundos ascendentes, estrutura que continua válida no gráfico.
Sigo otimista. 📈
Lembre-se: quedas fazem parte do mercado. Muitas vezes, elas são necessárias para remover excessos, liquidar posições alavancadas e preparar o terreno para movimentos mais saudáveis no longo prazo.
#BTC
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