Because it looks like just another political story
In reality - this is a break in a system that worked for over a century
So what actually happened?
The US Department of Justice has effectively entered a conflict with the Federal Reserve
Jerome Powell confirmed:
"An investigation has been launched against the Fed,
and the threat of criminal prosecution is directly linked to rate decisions"
Because the dispute is no longer about building repairs or budget issues
The conflict is about interest rates
The official version is an investigation into the reconstruction of the Fed headquarters:
- It is convenient
- It is easy to explain
- And it distracts attention
And the reaction was instant:
- S&P futures dipped
- The dollar weakened
- Gold printed a new ATH
This does not look like news,
This looks like fear...
Why is this critical?
Because the Fed existed for 113 years under one unwritten rule:
"The central bank chair can ignore political pressure without risk of prosecution"
And that rule just stopped existing
Powell said directly:
"The investigation is a consequence of him not cutting rates when demanded"
This is not interpretation.
Not analysis.
These are his words.
Now look at the timeline:
- December 18 2025 - the Fed holds rates unchanged despite political pressure
- January 9 2026 - the DOJ serves subpoenas
- Late January - another decision expected with no easing
- May 2026 - Powell’s term ends
Less than one month between “did not comply” and “criminal threat”
There are only two scenarios:
First one, if Powell folds:
Rates become a political tool,
and every future Fed chair understands this
If Powell does not fold:
Removal. Replacement. Full Reset.
The result is the same.
When rates stop being economic,
investors start demanding a political risk premium
When the system can no longer hold balance,
it is broken in a controlled way...
I have been in macro for over two decades and every major crash looked exactly like this
First legal pressure.
Then political decisions.
Then market consequences.
This scenario is already in motion and there is very little time left
Do NOT say I didn't warn you later...
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