economicalert

Yesterday’s U.S. employment report confirmed that the labor market is slowing more than expected. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the economy added about 50,000 jobs in December 2025, well below economists’ forecasts and representing one of the weakest monthly gains seen in recent years. At the same time, the unemployment rate edged down slightly to 4.4%, instead of rising as many had expected.

This combination — weak job growth alongside a modest fall in unemployment — is not unusual in a cooling economy, but it does send an important message: the labor market is losing momentum. Payroll growth has decelerated sharply from earlier years, and this slowdown is weighing on broader economic confidence.

From a monetary policy perspective, this outcome poses a dilemma for the Federal Reserve. On one hand, slowing employment supports the case for keeping interest rates steady or eventually cutting them if economic weakness continues. On the other hand, wage growth remains relatively firm, and inflation pressures have not fully disappeared, making policymakers cautious about easing too quickly. This places the Fed in a “data-dependent” posture, where decisions hinge on upcoming inflation readings as much as jobs figures.

For crypto markets, the implications are both subtle and significant. Digital assets like Bitcoin and other risk-oriented tokens tend to react to changes in monetary expectations and liquidity conditions more than to headline macro data alone. Weak payroll numbers generally reinforce expectations that the Fed might be less inclined to keep rates elevated for a prolonged period, which can be supportive for risk assets because lower interest rates and an easier liquidity backdrop often make speculative assets more attractive.

Indeed, past periods of soft employment data have been associated with rallies or stabilizing behavior in crypto, as traders price in rate cuts and potential dollar weakening. However, this is not guaranteed — especially when labor market reports contain mixed signals like slowing job growth but continued wage pressure. In such environments, markets can oscillate as investors weigh whether the Fed’s prioritization of inflation control over rate cuts will persist.

In practical terms, traders should watch the next key data releases, particularly inflation indicators like CPI and core inflation, as well as upcoming Federal Reserve communications. These will speak more directly to interest rate expectations, which remain a primary macro driver for crypto price action.

In summary:

U.S. job creation slowed more than expected in December, signaling labor market weakness.

The unemployment rate ticked down modestly, complicating the narrative but indicating continued labor market resilience in some areas.

Crypto markets may interpret this as reinforcing slower economic growth and potential future rate relief, which can support risk assets if inflation data cooperates.

The Federal Reserve’s future responses will remain central to both risk asset and crypto market expectations.

The overall macro situation remains complex, but this latest employment report supports the idea that traders should continue to monitor economic data and Fed communications closely, rather than relying on any single release to dictate market direction.

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#EconomicAlert #TraderAlert Seu bolso depende de informação
Comece a pensar como um verdadeiro investidor! Entenda um pouco sobre como os dados econômicos influenciam os mercados e o seu investimento!
O Payroll é um dos indicadores econômicos mais importantes dos Estados Unidos, divulgado mensalmente pelo Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). Ele mostra quantos empregos foram criados no país no mês anterior, além de incluir outras informações importantes como a taxa de desemprego e, muitas vezes, dados sobre salários médios.
Para os mercados, esse relatório é um termômetro da saúde do mercado de trabalho e da economia americana como um todo. Dados fortes sugerem uma economia dinâmica, enquanto números fracos podem indicar desaceleração.
O relatório de empregos dos EUA (Payroll) que será divulgado nesta sexta-feira, é o dado econômico mais relevante do momento porque influencia diretamente as decisões de juros do Federal Reserve.
Payroll forte → economia aquecida → juros altos por mais tempo → pressão negativa sobre ativos de risco, incluindo criptomoedas.
Payroll fraco → economia desacelerando → maior chance de cortes de juros → ambiente favorável ao mercado cripto.
Independentemente do resultado, o dado costuma gerar alta volatilidade de curto prazo, com movimentos rápidos em Bitcoin e altcoins.
O impacto final dependerá de quão distante o número divulgado ficará das
expectativas do mercado.

Emerging markets and developing economies play a major role in the world economy. While advanced economies, like the U.S., Japan, and parts of Europe, show slower growth, many developing countries still expand much faster. According to the World Economic Outlook, India is projected to grow faster than any other big emerging economy in 2026, with its GDP increasing by 6.2%. China also remains a big contributor to global growth, although slower than in the previous decade. China’s GDP is expected to grow by 4.2% in 2026.
Overall, emerging markets and developing economies are expected to grow by about 4.0% in 2026, down from 4.2% in 2025.
Key Takeaways
Emerging markets are expected to expand by around 4.0% in 2026, well more than double the rate of advanced economies at around 1.6%.India leads the world in growth, with a projected GDP increase of 6.2% in 2026, while China’s growth is slowing to about 4.2%.Growth among emerging and developing economies is uneven, with some countries posting very strong increases and others faced with challenges ranging from high debt to inflation or weak investment.
Emerging Markets Growth Outlook
🇮🇳India
India is the fourth-largest economy in the world in 2026, with an approximate GDP of $4.5 trillion. The country grew by about 6.5 percent in the year 2024, went up marginally to 6.6 percent in 2025, and is forecast to fall to 6.2 percent in 2026. Even with this small deceleration, India still remains the fastest-growing major economy in the world.
India’s growth is coming from heavy government spending on infrastructure, such as roads, railways, and energy projects. India also has seen rapid progress in digital payments, online services, and financial technology, while its IT and business services sector continues to grow.
🇨🇳China
China is the second-biggest economy in the world, after that of the U.S., with a GDP of about $20.6 trillion. It is growing more slowly. China’s economy grew by about 5.0% in 2024, slowed to 4.8% in 2025, and is expected to grow 4.2% in 2026. This slowdown is important when compared to the past. For many years, especially during the 2000s and early 2010s, China often grew at more than 10% per year. Now that the economy is much bigger and more mature, slower growth is normal.
China is facing several major problems. The property market crisis has reduced construction activity and lowered household confidence. Many local governments are under pressure because of high debt levels, which limit how much they can spend to support the economy. China is also dealing with an aging population and slower population growth, which affects its long-term economic potential.
Even so, China continues to invest heavily in manufacturing, artificial intelligence, electric vehicles, renewable energy, and technology.
🇧🇷Brazil
The Brazilian economy has been growing steadily in the past few years, but at a slowing pace. After registering 3.4% growth in 2024, the pace of growth is expected to slow down in 2025 and 2026. One of the main reasons for Brazil’s slowing growth is the central bank’s decision to keep interest rates high in order to control inflation. At times, the base policy rate has been raised, which makes loans more expensive for households and businesses. This slows spending and investment in the country.
🇲🇽Mexico and 🇷🇺Russia
Mexico’s economy is expected to grow slowly, reaching about 1.0 % in 2025 and 1.5 % in 2026. Russia’s economic growth is also poor, around 0.6 % in 2025 and 1.0 % in 2026, mainly due to international sanctions, a shortage of workers, and difficulty in accessing international payments and investment.
🇸🇦Saudi Arabia
The economy of Saudi Arabia is doing well and is expected to grow by 4% in both 2025 and 2026. This is due to increased oil production and investment schemes in the Vision 2030 project initiated by the government.
Additionally, Nigeria’s economy is performing fairly well with a growth forecast of 3.9% for 2025 and 4.2% for 2026. But South Africa is expected to perform modestly with a meager growth level of 1.2% only for 2026.
Emerging and Developing Markets: Regional Performance
Emerging and developing Asia is the fastest-growing region, with growth of around 5.2% in 2025 and 4.7% in 2026. Latin America and the Caribbean are growing more slowly at about 2.4% in 2025 and 2.3% in 2026. The Middle East and Central Asia are improving, with growth rising from 3.5% to 3.8%. Emerging and developing Europe lags behind all regions at 1.8% in 2025 and 2.2% in 2026.
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En la imagen vemos ofertas de compra de USDT (dólares digitales) que rondan los 698,00 bolívares. Detrás de este número hay un peso psicológico inmenso:
​La Devaluación como Herida Abierta: Saber que el bolívar perdió más del 80% de su valor en el último año no es solo una estadística. Para un padre o madre de familia, significa que el dinero que guardaron ayer para el colegio o la comida, hoy compra mucho menos.
​La Carrera Contra el Tiempo: El venezolano vive en una carrera constante. Cambiar a USDT no es un lujo de inversionista, es un mecanismo de supervivencia. Es el intento desesperado de "congelar" el valor de su esfuerzo antes de que la inflación lo devore.

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