As 2025 comes to a close, prediction markets are clear: Jerome Powell and the Fed are almost certainly pausing in January.

A dominant 87% probability on no rate change, with solid volume backing it.

25 bps cut: 13%

50+ bps cut: just 1% (despite $34M+ volume on the moonshot)

For crypto, this likely means short-term liquidity stays tight — expect more sideways or choppy price action as the market digests no immediate relief.

That said, the broader easing cycle remains intact for later in the year. Rate cuts are delayed, not canceled.

Patient bulls still in control. January hold ≠ bearish reversal.

#Fed #RateDecision #Bitcoin #Crypto