📉 Rate-Cut Hopes Are Slipping — And the Market Knows It

Right now, futures markets are pricing in roughly an 88% probability that the Fed does not cut rates in January. That alone tells a clear story:

expectations are being pushed further down the road.

Inflation progress isn’t bad, but it’s not convincing enough for the Fed to rush. Policymakers want more data, more confirmation, and more time.

This means: • Less short-term relief

• More patience required

• Fewer “easy money” assumptions

But here’s the key point most people miss 👇

When rate cuts get delayed, markets don’t automatically crash — they adjust.

Assets reprice, sentiment cools, and positioning shifts. That’s not panic… that’s digestion.

The real move comes when expectations reset, not when hopes fade.

Patience beats prediction.

Data beats emotion."

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