The US national debt has surpassed $35 trillion while the Federal Reserve holds interest rates at 5.5% and inflation still hovers above 3%.

• Central banks face a policy trap. Higher rates increase government debt service costs. Lower rates reignite inflation. Neither option is painless.

• M2 money supply grew over 40% since 2020. Each dollar buys less purchasing power over time. This structural debasement is not temporary - it is the intended outcome of fiat systems.

• Real yields on 10-year Treasuries remain negative after inflation. Holding cash or bonds means guaranteed loss of purchasing power. This creates strong incentive to seek non-sovereign stores of value.

• Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million coins offers verifiable scarcity in a world where monetary expansion has no theoretical limit. It is not perfect, but it is a rational anchor.

The macro trajectory rewards assets with hard supply caps. Digital scarcity fits that thesis. The math works even without blind optimism.

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