cryptomarket

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​نحن على أعتاب حدث استثنائي لم يسبق للسوق أن شهده بهذا الحجم؛ حيث ستنتهي غداً عقود خيارات (Options) للبتكوين بقيمة تقارب 23 مليار دولار.

​هذه السيولة المليارية الضخمة تضعنا أمام سيناريوهات مفتوحة في ظل ظروف سوق معقدة:

​🔍 تحليل المشهد الحالي:

​تذبذب حاد متوقع: مع إغلاق هذه العقود، عادة ما نشهد تقلبات سعرية "عنيفة" تهدف إلى تصفية المراكز المكشوفة.

​سيولة "نهاية العام": يأتي هذا إغلاق بالتزامن مع عطلات الأسواق العالمية وضخ سيولة ضعيف نسبياً، مما قد يضاعف أثر أي حركة سعرية.

​المستويات المفصلية: الأنظار تتجه نحو اختبار مستويات الـ 94,000$ في حال الإيجابية، أو كسر مستويات الـ 84,000$ في حال غلب البيع لتغطية المراكز.

​نصيحة للمتداولين: في ظل تداخل "إغلاق العقود" مع "خمول سيولة الأعياد"، يُنصح بالحذر الشديد والابتعاد عن الرافعة المالية العالية. السوق حالياً في منطقة "انعدام يقين".

​ما هي توقعاتكم لاتجاه السعر بعد الإغلاق؟ هل سنرى اختراقاً للقمة التاريخية أم تصحيحاً أعمق؟ 👇
​#BTC
#bitcoin
#CryptoMarket
#OptionsExpiry
#CryptoAnalysis

A economia chinesa entrou num ponto crítico. Quem ignora isso vai pagar caro no próximo ciclo.
👉 PIB: O GIGANTE DESACELEROU
O PIB da China em 2025 gira perto de 5%, número bonito no papel, mas fraco para quem já cresceu dois dígitos.
O motor econômico perdeu força, consumo não reage e a expansão virou sobrevivência.
👉INFLAÇÃO QUASE MORTA
A inflação segue baixa demais, flertando com deflação em alguns períodos.
Isso revela uma verdade dura:
➡️ o povo não consome
➡️ empresas seguram investimento
➡️ o dinheiro não gira
Economia fria não cria confiança.
👉JUROS NO CHÃO, MAS SEM EFEITO REAL
A taxa básica foi mantida em níveis muito baixos, tentativa clara de estimular crédito.
❌O problema?
Juro baixo sem confiança não gera crescimento, só empurra risco para frente.
👉O PROBLEMA ESTRUTURAL QUE NINGUÉM GRITA
• setor imobiliário ainda quebrado
• produção industrial fraca
• exportações pressionadas
• demanda interna travada
A China não colapsou, mas também não acelera.
Isso muda TODO o jogo global.
👉 O QUE ISSO TEM A VER COM CRIPTO? TUDO.
Quando economias grandes perdem tração, o capital começa a procurar fuga.
E historicamente, parte desse dinheiro vai para:
➡️ ativos escassos
➡️ mercados alternativos
➡️ criptoativos
👉 JUROS BAIXOS = COMBUSTÍVEL PARA RISCO
Ambiente de juros baixos favorece ativos de maior risco.
Bitcoin e cripto ganham espaço como aposta assimétrica.
Não por ideologia , por estratégia financeira.
👉2026 SERÁ CALMO? NÃO. OPORTUNO? SIM.
A fraqueza chinesa aumenta a volatilidade global.
E volatilidade é onde dinheiro inteligente opera.
Quem entende macro sai na frente antes do fluxo chegar.
👉 POSICIONAMENTO IDEAL PARA 2026
🔹 Conservador: foco em Bitcoin e proteção
🔹 Moderado: BTC + projetos sólidos
🔹 Agressivo: buscar assimetrias após quedas
Sem emoção. Só leitura fria do cenário.
✅ VEREDITO FINAL
A China em 2025 não está forte, está tentando não travar.
Esse ambiente pressiona mercados tradicionais e abre espaço para o cripto ganhar relevância.
Quem entender isso agora, chega em 2026 preparado.
✅👉Quem ignorar… vai correr atrás depois
$SOL $BTC $BNB
#ChinaEconomy
#Bitcoin
#CryptoMarket
#Crypto2026
#BinanceSquare

On December 26, the cryptocurrency market will witness the largest Bitcoin options expiration in history by notional value. This event is drawing significant attention from traders and institutions, as it may influence short-term price behavior before potentially setting the stage for larger moves in early January.
According to market data, Bitcoin options worth approximately $23.7 billion are set to expire. When combined with Ethereum and other crypto assets, the total notional value of expiring contracts reaches nearly $28 billion. This makes it one of the most important derivatives events the market has ever seen.
Why Options Expiry Matters
Options contracts give traders the right — but not the obligation — to buy (call) or sell (put) Bitcoin at a predetermined price before a specific expiration date. As the expiry approaches, market participants adjust their positions to minimize losses or maximize gains.
In most cases, market makers (MMs) are the primary sellers of options, while retail and institutional traders are often buyers. Market makers tend to profit when options expire worthless. To maintain a neutral exposure, they continuously hedge their risk by buying BTC when the price drops and selling BTC when the price rises.
This dynamic often creates a “price pinning” or “price suppression” effect, keeping Bitcoin trading within a relatively narrow range as expiration approaches. As a result, the market may feel slow, choppy, and directionless, frustrating short-term traders.
What Happens After Expiration?
The critical moment usually occurs after the options expire, typically around 08:00 UTC on Friday. Once contracts settle, market makers no longer need to hedge their exposure, meaning the artificial stabilizing force is removed.
Historically, this has often led to:
A return of volatility
Faster price movements
Clearer directional trends
In many cases, Bitcoin experiences a brief dip before moving higher, a pattern often described as a “liquidity hunt.” During this phase, prices may temporarily drop to trigger stop-loss orders and force weak hands out of the market before a stronger move begins.
Looking Ahead to January
From a seasonal perspective, January has historically been a favorable month for Bitcoin, often benefiting from:
New capital allocations at the start of the year
Portfolio rebalancing by institutions
Renewed market optimism after year-end positioning
If no major negative macroeconomic or regulatory news emerges, the end of this massive options expiry could remove a key short-term constraint on price, allowing Bitcoin to move more freely.
Final Thoughts
While the days leading up to December 26 may remain relatively quiet and range-bound, the period after the options expiration could be far more dynamic. As always, traders should remain aware of volatility risks and manage positions carefully.
Stay informed, stay disciplined, and keep an eye on how the market reacts once this historic derivatives event is behind us.
👉 Follow my profile for more crypto market insights, on-chain analysis, and daily updates.
#BTC #CryptoMarket