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🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
AlphaDropster:
Before every Fed decision comes fear and volatility.
The market watches the noise,
while the real moves quietly take shape.
Those who panic react.
Those who understand… wait.
ترجمة
#btc
Shorts Are Building Above BTC Price 👀
$BTC liquidation heatmap shows heavy liquidity stacked above current price.
Long liquidations near 88K exist, but short risk dominates.
If price pushes higher, forced short covering could accelerate upside.
Are shorts about to get trapped? 🤔
#BTC #Bitcoin #MarketStructure
Shorts Are Building Above BTC Price 👀
$BTC liquidation heatmap shows heavy liquidity stacked above current price.
Long liquidations near 88K exist, but short risk dominates.
If price pushes higher, forced short covering could accelerate upside.
Are shorts about to get trapped? 🤔
#BTC #Bitcoin #MarketStructure
ترجمة
#btc
Bitcoin Is Following the April 2025 Fractal
$BTC is showing remarkably similar behavior to April 2025:
• Breakout structure looks nearly identical
• Whale activity suggests long positions are being closed
• A double-bottom pattern is emerging
If history rhymes, this setup could set the stage for a Q2 2025–style rally.
#BTC #Bitcoin #MacroInsights
Bitcoin Is Following the April 2025 Fractal
$BTC is showing remarkably similar behavior to April 2025:
• Breakout structure looks nearly identical
• Whale activity suggests long positions are being closed
• A double-bottom pattern is emerging
If history rhymes, this setup could set the stage for a Q2 2025–style rally.
#BTC #Bitcoin #MacroInsights
انفجار البيتكوين تأكيد الصعود واختراق المثلث 🚀
نجح Bitcoin في اختراق نمط المثلث وتجاوز خط الاتجاه الأخضر الطويل
مما يؤكد تحولاً جذرياً في الاتجاه نحو الإيجابية.
مع تشكل نمط Harmonic، تزداد الثقة في هيكلية السوق الصاعدة الحالية.
الاتجاه العام يظل صاعداً بقوة
وأي تراجعات بسيطة قد تحدث هي مجرد فرص ذهبية لإعادة التمركز والشراء
الرسوم البيانية بدأت ترسم ملامح رحلة ساحرة نحو القمة، فالحقيقة تكمن دائماً بين السطور والشموع التي لا تكذب نحن في بداية فصل جديد من الإثارة
$BTC
#USJobsData #btc #elaouzi
نجح Bitcoin في اختراق نمط المثلث وتجاوز خط الاتجاه الأخضر الطويل
مما يؤكد تحولاً جذرياً في الاتجاه نحو الإيجابية.
مع تشكل نمط Harmonic، تزداد الثقة في هيكلية السوق الصاعدة الحالية.
الاتجاه العام يظل صاعداً بقوة
وأي تراجعات بسيطة قد تحدث هي مجرد فرص ذهبية لإعادة التمركز والشراء
الرسوم البيانية بدأت ترسم ملامح رحلة ساحرة نحو القمة، فالحقيقة تكمن دائماً بين السطور والشموع التي لا تكذب نحن في بداية فصل جديد من الإثارة
$BTC
#USJobsData #btc #elaouzi
ترجمة
🚨 LOS BALLENAS DE BITFINEX ESTÁN CERRANDO RÁPIDAMENTE SUS POSICIONES LARGAS EN $BTC
La última vez que sucedió esto:
- Bitcoin subió un +50% en solo 43 días
- Se estableció un nuevo máximo histórico (74.000$ → 112.000$)
Los ballenas no salen porque sean bajistas.
Salen para volver a entrar a precios más bajos.
Esto es una SEÑAL.
La mayoría solo lo entenderá después de que el precio explote. 🚀
#btc #bitcoin
La última vez que sucedió esto:
- Bitcoin subió un +50% en solo 43 días
- Se estableció un nuevo máximo histórico (74.000$ → 112.000$)
Los ballenas no salen porque sean bajistas.
Salen para volver a entrar a precios más bajos.
Esto es una SEÑAL.
La mayoría solo lo entenderá después de que el precio explote. 🚀
#btc #bitcoin
وصية للمتداولين على منصة إكسنس يوجد تلاعب على عملة البيتكوين حيث عندما وصل 90686.4 بقي في مكانه بالرغم من صعوده فوق 90700 ربما إحتيال أو قرصنة خلل في نظامهم
أللهم أني قد بالغة فاللهم فشهد
#btc
أللهم أني قد بالغة فاللهم فشهد
#btc
ترجمة
apakah btc bakal menyetuh 88 untuk menutup gapnya ?
#btc
#btc
BTCUSDT
دائم
10X
جارٍ فتح صفقة بيع قصير
الأرباح والخسائر غير المحققة
+2,842.62USDT
ترجمة
中本聪时代转移常被视为潜在卖出信号，因为这些矿工持有的BTC成本极低（2010年BTC价格<1美元）。如果转移到交易所，市场可能解读为套现意图，导致零售投资者恐慌抛售，例如，2025年12月类似转移2000 BTC时，BTC价格短期跌至89,300美元（下跌3%），虽无立即卖出，但引发了投机讨论，在高流动性低的环境中，这可能加剧价格下行，影响杠杆交易者（清算增加）。#btc
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